Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.392061 0.451709 0.514280 0.584534 0.660938 0.741250 0.831783
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.302308 0.383509 0.473897 0.580859 0.702884 0.836721 0.993568
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.250244 0.347102 0.460825 0.601582 0.768553 0.957892 1.186407
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.197967 0.301702 0.430336 0.596678 0.801347 1.040544 1.336795
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.171105 0.283332 0.429159 0.624624 0.872183 1.168285 1.542192
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.140259 0.254477 0.410505 0.627496 0.910333 1.256315 1.701327
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.115561 0.229991 0.394184 0.630602 0.946965 1.341791 1.857879
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.098945 0.214658 0.388243 0.645865 0.998362 1.445660 2.038082
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.086439 0.203608 0.386785 0.666121 1.055850 1.557512 2.229396
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.075656 0.193509 0.385317 0.685402 1.111677 1.667556 2.419556
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.062067 0.175783 0.370008 0.683035 1.136851 1.737282 2.558581
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.053179 0.165151 0.364657 0.694377 1.180528 1.831380 2.729613
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.042250 0.148242 0.347575 0.687379 1.198693 1.892897 2.861030
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.031347 0.128251 0.322722 0.666282 1.195176 1.924424 2.953071
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.026353 0.120828 0.319359 0.678729 1.240424 2.022781 3.134519
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019777 0.106965 0.302239 0.667357 1.249447 2.070829 3.249039
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017613 0.104980 0.307793 0.693750 1.315593 2.199108 3.472683
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.013780 0.096258 0.298773 0.694612 1.342507 2.272413 3.622550
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.010712 0.088574 0.290848 0.696607 1.370765 2.347614 3.775460
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.008915 0.084762 0.290723 0.712112 1.420125 2.453280 3.970895
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007653 0.082532 0.293786 0.733238 1.478496 2.572324 4.185568
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.006515 0.080239 0.296406 0.753492 1.535706 2.690227 4.399615
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.004719 0.073187 0.286950 0.750791 1.555832 2.754365 4.539533